Mostrando artículos por etiqueta: transition scenarios

This article offers “transition scenarios” as a variation on the backcasting technique. The variation in essence developed a shorter-term version of a long-term set of scenarios that had been developed just a few years prior. The scenarios themselves are only briefly highlighted as the principal emphasis is on the methodological variation. A full version of the scenarios is part of a separate “Global Technical Report” publication (Hines, Schutte, Romero, & Bengston, 2019). The variation is offered in the spirit of an experiment in the hope that it might be useful to futurists and others confronted with a similar methodological challenge of working with a client who “already has” scenarios that are judged to be outside of a useful planning horizon.

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Publicado en Prospectiva CTI